Meetings in 2001TopJournals of the SocietyThe Creation of Bernoulli Society - II

The Creation of Bernoulli Society - II

  • 3. Initiation of the Bernoulli Society
  • 4. Why the name?
  • 5. The Bernoulli Society and IMS
  • Acknowledgement

  • This is the second and final part of the article whose first part was published in the previous issue of Bernoulli News (vol.7, no.2)

    3. Initiation of the Bernoulli Society

    We are ready to bring the three groups together under the Bernoulli umbrella. Since 1972, the Dutch probabilists and statisticians meet every year in Lunteren, a village close to Utrecht. In November 1973, Jim Durbin and John Kingman were among the speakers that had been invited by Willem van Zwet. Remember that Jim Durbin was at that time chairman of the European Committee of IMS while I chaired the Stochastic Processes Committee. With the four of us, Jim Durbin, John Kingman, Willem van Zwet and myself, we discussed a wide set of problems: the desire of IASPS to broaden its interests, the wish of the European Statisticians for reallocation and the possible umbrella society for the Stochastic Processes Committee. It quickly became clear that a transformation of IASPS would be among the best possible solutions for most if not all of of these problems.

    An intensive correspondence and diplomatic activity started. Joe Gani and Jim Durbin invited David Kendall, President of IASPS, to investigate the possibility for a transformation.

    Photo of D.Kendall
    David Kendall

    Early July '74, Kendall was ready with a first draft of the necessary changes in the statutes and sent them to the members of the IASPS council. The reactions were mixed to say the least. For example, P.A.P. Moran was against because it would weaken ISI, while Arthur Linder formulated his fear for conflicts with the Biometric Society. Joe Gani however was fully in favour and forecasted that the ERC/IMS and the CCSP would give their blessings easily.

    The reactions of the two committees were indeed positive. At its York meeting in June 1974, the CCSP agreed in principle to affiliate itself to the new society. The committee welcomed that I would change my chairmanship of the committee for the Scientific Secretary-ship of the Bernoulli Society. As part of the agreement, the CCSP proposed Julian Keilson for nomination on the new council of the Bernoulli Society. IASPS President Kendall replied that this was not immediately feasible as the IASPS statutes were still in vigour and therefore not more than two council members could come from the same country. Now, both Marc Kac and Marvin Zelen were already elected for the period 1973-77. Kendall left Keilson the two alternatives to either shoot one of his compatriots or to change his nationality. Keilson was later elected for the period 1977-81. However, his interests in the activities of the Bernoulli Society decreased rapidly.

    Similarly, at the meeting in Prague in August '74, the IMS Committee for European Meetings reacted favourably. It welcomed that its chairman Jim Durbin would become the Treasurer of the new society. The President of IMS at that moment, Fred Mosteller, said that the creation of the reconstituted IASPS made him envious as he had always wanted to be a Bernoulli.

    After a final set of cosmetic changes, the draft of the rewritten statutes was submitted to the ISI Bureau on 4 September 1974. The Bureau, under the administrative guidance of ISI Director Bart Lunenberg, gave its blessing to the new developments.

    Photo of Bart Lunenberg
    Bart Lunenberg

    The role played by Bart Lunenberg, who died in January 2000, has been far reaching. He was like the surveyor who knew all the partners and their subtleties. His administrative skills were unsurpassed. He fully cooperated in the transformation of IASPS that he saw as a crucial component in the changes that were necessary to give a more scientific face to the otherwise bureaucratic ISI.

    On 1st March 1975, Kendall wrote to all IASPS members with the request to cast a vote on the proposed amendments. The outcome was made public in a letter of 6th June from the ISI Permanent Office to Kendall. Of the 126 valid ballots, 101 voted in favour, 20 voted against while there were 5 abstentions. The ballots are in the ISI archives at the Permanent Office. Also those of the 20 members that voted against. Some of them made use of all the blank space on the ballot paper to express their disappointment with the changes. Here are two of them.

    Also the fact that the name Bernoulli was too European was voiced a couple of times.

    As amendments to the Statutes of an ISI-subsection are only subject to approval by the ISI-Bureau, IASPS ceased to exist as such on 10 June 1975 and was immediately reconstituted into the Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability. David Kendall transferred the presidential responsibilities to his successor David Blackwell during the ISI-session in September 1975 in Warsaw. At this meeting, the Bernoulli Society held its first official General Assembly. From then on the society started to live its own life.

    4. Why the name?

    A classical question among members of our society is, how the society got its name. Already in the first draft of the statutes for IASPS, Neyman had suggested the name International Bernoullian Association for the new ISI subsection. However, the ISI Bureau insisted on International Association for Statistics in the Physical Sciences.

    Neyman's reasoning behind this name was that the Bernoulli's had been covering most areas of scientific knowledge. The Bernoulli's form a large family of mathematicians, physicians, pharmacists, physicists, geologists, lawyers, priests and teachers, but we also find a fair number in trade and commerce. Let me single out a few Bernoulli's that are close to the goals of the society. The most well-known is Jacob (1655-1705), mathematician, astronomer and the author of Ars Conjectandi. He applied probability theory to moral, political and economic subjects. Then there is Johann (1667-1748), brother of Jacob, chemist, mathematician and (as you might not know) discoverer of de l'Hôpital's rule. A third is Daniel (1700-1782), son of Johann, mathematician and philosopher. These three Bernoulli's can be seen on the figure below. Further there is Niklaus (1687-1759) who was responsible for the printing of the Ars Conjectandi in 1713. These four are just a few from a very remarkable family.

    Three members of the Bernoulli family
    Three members of the Bernoulli family

    In 1974, when Kendall was redrafting the IASPS-statutes, Neyman was still alive. He wrote the letter to Kendall on 24 January reproduced below. It is most remarkable that Neyman inserted the second "i" in the name Bernoulli. This reminds me of a beautiful story about De Morgan that I learned among many other things from Steve Stigler. At a very young age De Morgan had lost the sight of an eye. Once an actuary by the name of Hendricks approached De Morgan on one of the Bernoulli's but spelt the name wrongly, that is with two i's. "Oh," replied De Morgan, "you have deeply offended me. Pray always keep in mind the personal interest I take in one-eyed philosophers".

    At the time of the restructuring of IASPS, Arthur Linder mentioned to David Kendall that he became acquainted with one of the Bernoulli descendants in Switzerland. Kendall got in contact with Peter Ferdinand Bernoulli-Stiffler, a chemist living in Basel, Switzerland, who did graduate studies at the Manchester College of Technology. Kendall requested the Bernoulli family to allow the society to use elements of the Bernoulli family's coat of arms. This is the reason for the argent and vert colours on all of the Bernoulli stationery. Peter Bernoulli offered a book to Kendall with the family history and genealogy. It was Kendall's intention that this book should be passed from president to president at the occasion of the take over at the ISI-sessions.

    Photo of Bart Lunenberg
    Letter of J.Neyman to D.Kendall

    The last figure shows a page of the book and contains the signatures of the first presidents of the Bernoulli Society. In 1995, I got the book from Ole Barndorff-Nielsen. At that time, it contained all the signatures from David Cox onwards except the one of Betty Scott who unfortunately died in 1988. I hunted for the remaining signatures. The list proves that the memory of the society is indeed fading quickly. When David Cox signed the book, he forgot that his term of office ran from 1979 to 1981, not from 1981 to 1983. To be correct, his name and that of Paul Révèsz should be reversed. The only other missing signature is that of the current President David Siegmund. There are plenty of blank pages at the back of the book to allow numerous presidential signatures.

    5. The Bernoulli Society and IMS

    Let me finally deal with the Bernoulli Society's relation to IMS. As I explained in the first part of my lecture, IMS played a decisive role in the creation of the society through its European Regional Committee. The fact that ISI has had its headquarters in the Netherlands might partly explain why still many North-American statisticians consider the Bernoulli Society a European society.

    As soon as the European Regional Committee of IMS became the first regional committee within the Bernoulli Society, official relations between IMS and the Bernoulli Society came to a standstill. No liaison was even appointed between IMS and the newborn society and this remained the case for many years. To avoid friction, the Bernoulli Society never seriously pondered to establish a North American Regional Committee although the idea has been phrased occasionally.

    The first jointly organized activity was a satellite meeting to the Amsterdam ISI-session in 1985. In August that year a Conference on Mathematical Statistics and Probability was held in Maastricht. A major breakthrough however came with the jointly organized Second World Congress of the Bernoulli Society in Uppsala, Sweden in 1990. This change resulted from the fact that since 1988 there existed a genuine Coordination Committee between the two societies; it had been established by Bernoulli President Willem van Zwet and IMS President Peter Bickel. In the meantime four of the Bernoulli Society Presidents came from IMS circles.

    We can only hope that this fruitful collaboration will continue and may even extend to issues where both societies are gearing towards the same goals like international cooperation and publications.

    Acknowledgement

    This note is based on the opening lecture of the Fifth World Congress of the Bernoulli Society. I take great pleasure in thanking all those that have kindly shared information with me. In particular Steve Stigler gave me a smart list of does and don'ts for a text with an historic undertone. Richard Syski, Willem van Zwet and James Durbin provided lots of historic elements for the period prior to 1975. Also the Staff of the Permanent Office of ISI has been extremely helpful during my searches in the ISI and Bernoulli Society archives.

    Let me add a personal wish. If any one among the readership of this publication still has documents or knows colleagues having documents related to the history of the Bernoulli Society, please, don't burn them yet. I would only be glad to add them to the Bernoulli Society archives that will be stored at the ISI Permanent Office.

    Jef L. Teugels
    Katholieke Universiteit Leuven

    Signatures of BS presidents
    Signatures of BS presidents


    Meetings in 2001TopJournals of the SocietyThe Creation of Bernoulli Society - II